Emission Reduction Gaps

In December 2015, the Paris Agreement included this pledge:

Recognizing that climate change represents an urgent and potentially irreversible threat to human societies and the planet and thus requires the widest possible cooperation by all countries, and their participation in an effective and appropriate international response, with a view to accelerating the reduction of global greenhouse gas emissions,

Also recognizing that deep reductions in global emissions will be required in order to achieve the ultimate objective of the Convention and emphasizing the need for urgency in addressing climate change,

Acknowledging that climate change is a common concern of humankind, Parties should, when taking action to address climate change, respect, promote and consider their respective obligations on human rights, the right to health, the rights of indigenous peoples, local communities, migrants, children, persons with disabilities and people in vulnerable situations and the right to development, as well as gender equality, empowerment of women and intergenerational equity,

Emphasizing with serious concern the urgent need to address the significant gap between the aggregate effect of Parties’ mitigation pledges in terms of global annual emissions of greenhouse gases by 2020 and aggregate emission pathways consistent with holding the increase in the global average temperature to well below 2 °C above pre- industrial levels and pursuing efforts to limit the temperature increase to 1.5 °C above pre- industrial levels,

Using the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) carbon budgets for the maximum amount of Carbon in the atmosphere for a likely (>66%) chance of keeping global temperature increases below 1.5 and 2 degrees, we calculated Canada's share and compared it to the amount of Carbon that will be emitted if Canada follows our current targets of 30% below 2005 emission levels by 2030 and 80% below by 2050.